Here is some bottom of the bracket analysis for the 10-team tournament. FGCU and JU at 10th and 11th place currently are on the bubble.
Austin Peay, with 3 wins, cannot get enough wins to qualify for the tournament. With not making the tournament, the fight, and the cheer squad situation, this season has been a total mess for the Govs. Only the mascot escapes unblemished.
JSU has 4 wins. If they win out, they can tie FGCU and JU in the standings, but they lost all the head-to-head battles with both these teams, so they are eliminated. Last year JSU won 21 games and went to the NCAA Tournament
UCA has 4 wins. If they win out (which would include defeating the Owls) we go to the tiebreakers. JU beat them, so they will finish below JU. As or tiebreakers with FGCU, 1) they are tied with FGCU as they split head-to-head games, 2) UCA NET is currently 160 slots below FGCU. They are not going to make up that much ground. Bottom line they can't win tiebreakers against the 10th and 11th place teams, so the best they can do is 12th place.
10 slots are available. 6 are sewn up, 5 teams are competing for the last 4 berths.