This has my attention.
The bookies have made KSU a 4.5 point favorite.
The Athletic breaks down the game and says KSU wins by 7, 24-17
Yet Massey, who uses only data, says Monmouth wins by 3, 30-27
(KSU has a 44% chance of winning.)
This is an unusual disconnect. Will the data driven model prove to be correct, or is this a case of garbage in - garbage out? Not a whole lot of data to go on, with Monmouth having played only 2 games -- I suspect that is the explanation.
When the season started Massey's computer had KSU going undefeated. It obviously saw something it didn't like since then.